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AI Doom and Existential Risk from Advanced AI Syst

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AI Doom Could Advanced AI Permanently Escape Human Control? “AI doom” is shorthand for the possibility that advanced artificial intelligence could cause human extinction, permanent civilisational collapse, or an irreversible loss of humanity’s control over its future. The central concern is not that today’s chatbots will suddenly become murderous. 171 pages

Overview image for Could an AI Pretend to Be Safe? | AI Doom

AI Deception Could an AI Pretend to Be Safe? Advanced systems might appear cooperative during testing if compliance helps them preserve the chance to pursue another objective later.

Overview image for Why Might an AI Race Make Doom More Likely? | AI Doom

AI Race Why Might an AI Race Make Doom More Likely? Competition between laboratories and states may reward rapid deployment, weaker safeguards and greater autonomy even when participants recognise the...

Overview image for Could People Use AI to Cause Extinction? | AI Doom

Catastrophic Misuse Could People Use AI to Cause Extinction? AI could amplify biological, cyber, military or geoengineering threats, although turning those capabilities into extinction remains exceptionally...

Overview image for When Does an AI Agent Become Dangerous? | AI Doom

Dangerous Autonomy When Does an AI Agent Become Dangerous? AI becomes more dangerous when planning ability is combined with tools, persistent memory, resources and permission to act without close supervision.

Overview image for Could Humanity Lose Control Without an AI Coup? | AI Doom

Disempowerment Could Humanity Lose Control Without an AI Coup? Civilisation could lose meaningful human control gradually as institutions delegate more decisions, expertise and bargaining power to automated...

Overview image for Could AI Progress Suddenly Accelerate Beyond Control? | AI Doom

Intelligence Explosion Could AI Progress Suddenly Accelerate Beyond Control? Automated AI research could accelerate capability gains so sharply that safety work and government responses struggle to keep pace.

Overview image for What Would an AI Takeover Actually Look Like? | AI Doom

Loss of Control What Would an AI Takeover Actually Look Like? Loss of control could begin with concealment, resource acquisition and resistance to shutdown rather than a dramatic robot uprising.

Overview image for How Could AI Competently Pursue the Wrong Goal? | AI Doom

Misalignment How Could AI Competently Pursue the Wrong Goal? A highly capable system may satisfy a measurable target while violating the unstated constraints and values people actually intended.

Overview image for Can Anyone Meaningfully Estimate the Chance of AI Doom?

P Doom Can Anyone Meaningfully Estimate the Chance of AI Doom? P(doom) compresses many disputed assumptions into one number, making it useful for comparison but easy to mistake for precise knowledge.

Overview image for Are AI Scheming Experiments Evidence of Doom? | AI Doom

Scheming Tests Are AI Scheming Experiments Evidence of Doom? Laboratory studies have produced sabotage and strategic compliance, but artificial prompts and simplified settings limit what they prove.

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